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Blog/Operating model/The helicopter and the mountain: AI should raise the summit, not lower the bar
Operating model

The helicopter and the mountain: AI should raise the summit, not lower the bar

A Fields medallist says AI is a helicopter that drops children on the summit. NVIDIA's CEO says the skills they lose may not matter. The data says both miss the point: design decides whether AI helps or harms, schools lag every step change, and the real bottleneck is teacher training.

Author
Assem Chammah
Published
Sep 28, 2026
Last revised
Sep 28, 2026
Reading time
40 min
OpinionBy Assem Chammah8 randomised trials55 school systems50 years of tools in classSeptember 2026
The short version
  • The debate is framed as "climb or fly". A Fields medallist says AI is a helicopter that drops children on the summit. NVIDIA's CEO says the skills they lose may not matter.
  • Both accept the same frame. A fixed mountain, and a choice between walking and flying.
  • The evidence says design decides. Plain ChatGPT cut exam scores by 17% in one trial. The same model, set up to give hints instead of answers, cost nothing on the exam.
  • Schools lag every step change. Ten years after maths teachers endorsed calculators, 47% of US 4th graders had never been asked to use one in class.
  • The bottleneck is the adult. 92% of UK students use AI. 9% of French teachers were trained on it last year.
  • Hints are the floor, not the goal. A tutor that only gives hints stops the loss. The prize is using AI to reach work students could never reach alone.
  • My answer: train the pilots, starting with the teachers. Spend less school time on execution and more on judgment. Then raise the summit.

1Two voices, one frame

This month, two very different voices crossed my feed.

The mathematician

The first was Hugo Duminil-Copin, Fields Medal 2022, on France Inter. He was promoting De l'autre côté du tableau noir, the book he wrote with Geneva psychologist Emmanuel Sander.

  • His image: letting AI solve a maths problem for a child is like asking a helicopter to drop you at the summit.
  • His verdict: nice photo, zero effort. The only thing the child learns is how to get into a helicopter.
  • The echo: La Libre Belgique used the same image on 18 September: being airlifted to the top of Everest instead of walking up.1

The CEO

The second was Jensen Huang, CEO of NVIDIA.

  • The finding put to him: children who lean on AI get their homework done faster but learn less.
  • His answer: he agreed. Long division, multiplication tables and square roots are being forgotten.
  • His follow up: does it matter? Probably not those skills, he said. We will discover new ones.

Where I land

I think both are partly right, and both miss the point. I spent years on school improvement projects at McKinsey and a good part of my career since building AI. Here is my position:

  • The helicopter is not the problem. Flying one is far harder than walking. The problem is that we still grade children on the walk.
  • The bar is now too low, not too high. With AI in every pocket, the mountain we ask children to climb should be much higher.
  • Education systems are structurally bad at step changes. They were slow on calculators and slow on the internet. AI is a bigger step than both, and it is arriving faster.
  • The binding constraint is teachers, not students. Children will use AI whatever we decide. The question is whether the adult in the room can fly better than they can.

The rest of this piece backs each point with data: eight randomised trials, surveys of teachers in school systems, and fifty years of history.

2The mathematician's case: the value is in the climb

The argument deserves to be steelmanned before it is challenged.

Who is speaking

  • Hugo Duminil-Copin, born 1985, is a French probabilist at the University of Geneva and the IHES.2
  • The Fields Medal, on 5 July 2022, rewarded his work on phase transitions in models such as percolation and the Ising model.3
  • His new book with Emmanuel Sander (Seuil, 2026) attacks the myth that mathematics is reserved for a handful of geniuses.4 Behind the rigour of theorems, it argues, sit intuition, analogy, trial and error, emotion and productive mistakes.
  • Sander researches mental representations and how learners interpret problems.

What he says

In the France Inter interview, his core points are:

  • Transferable capability, not the answer. Today's mountain is the exercise. There will be another tomorrow. School exists to equip children for mountains they have not seen yet.
  • AI short circuits the core of mathematics: building concepts and tools yourself, and finding your own way to a solution.
  • Mathematicians produce tomorrow's intuitions. Zero and negative numbers were once frontier ideas. Today they are common sense.
  • His own practice. He told Le Monde he does not use AI in his research. The host called that almost anachronistic, given how widely the French now use AI.

He is not alone

La Libre reports that Mickaël Randour, head of mathematics at UMONS, signed the Leiden Declaration, a warning from mathematicians about AI misuse in research.1,5

  • His point: AI proofs written in the formal language Lean can be checked as correct without anyone understanding why they are true. Humanity learns nothing reusable from them.
  • His rule: the brain is a muscle, and mental arithmetic comes before the calculator.

The strongest version of the argument

It is not nostalgia. It is that understanding is built through productive struggle, and a tool that removes the struggle can remove the learning with it.

That concern is real. Section 4 shows it is partly supported by data.

The counter voice in the same article

Amaury Hayat, a mathematician working on AI for proofs, disagrees.1

  • His view: doing maths with only pen and paper no longer makes much sense, and researchers who refuse AI will struggle to find posts.
  • His metaphor: AI for a proof is less a helicopter ride than climbing Everest in a robotic exoskeleton instead of with an ice axe. Even an assisted ascent teaches you the route.

3The CEO's case: some skills stop mattering

The context

Jensen Huang spoke on The Ezra Klein Show (New York Times, 23 September 2026).6 Klein opened with a large Chinese study on AI in school and asked Huang what he made of it.

The study behind the question

Researchers from Stockholm University and the University of Hong Kong followed students in grades , in one county in central China, for , as tools such as DeepSeek and Doubao spread.7

  • Homework got better. Homework scores rose and homework time fell .
  • Exams got worse. Monthly closed book exam scores fell within about five months.
  • The stakes are real. Scores on two high stakes entrance exams fell and . The full penalty took about two years to appear.
  • The detail nobody quotes: most of the loss came from what the authors call homework outsourcing, very short homework time with very high homework scores. Students who kept spending normal time on homework lost far less.

How the tool was used mattered as much as whether it was used.

hover or tap a row
HomeworkEffortExams without AI
Homework scores
+18%
Time spent on homework
minus 30%
Monthly closed book exams
minus 20%
High stakes entrance exam A
minus 18%
High stakes entrance exam B
minus 24%
Figure 1. Homework up, exams down: Chinese students after AI tools spread. Change for AI adopters against non adopters. Source: Stromberg, Lei and Wu (Stockholm University and University of Hong Kong), 2026.7
So what? Homework no longer measures learning. A school that still grades take home work is reading a broken gauge.

What Huang said

  • He agreed with the finding. Long division, multiplication tables and square roots are being forgotten.
  • He asked whether it matters, and answered that he did not think it does. Some skills matter, he conceded, but society will discover new ones.
  • His illustration: he does not know his own address, ZIP code or phone number, and once panicked at a petrol pump when asked for his ZIP code.
  • After pushback from Klein, he framed the trade as losing some fine intellectual dexterity while becoming better systems thinkers.8

Why I agree with the direction, with a grain of salt

  • The direction is right. Every generation offloads skills to tools. Nobody mourns the slide rule or the log table, and nobody memorises phone numbers any more.
  • The messenger is conflicted. NVIDIA sells the hardware that powers AI adoption. Discount the enthusiasm accordingly.
  • The example is weak. Forgetting a ZIP code is not the same as never learning number sense. You cannot become a systems thinker without a mental model of the system, and you cannot spot a wrong AI answer without a feel for what a right one looks like.
  • "We will discover new skills" is half a plan. He is right that new skills matter more than the old ones. The main one is already clear: judgment. Naming it and teaching it now is the job of education systems. Discovering it a generation late is the failure mode.

4What the evidence says: design decides the outcome

The research does not say "AI harms learning". It says unstructured AI harms learning, and structured AI can accelerate it. Each camp quotes half of it.

Three terms, explained once

  • Randomised controlled trial (RCT). Students are assigned by lottery to use a tool or not. Any difference in results can then be credited to the tool.
  • Effect size, in standard deviations (SD). A common ruler for learning gains across studies. is roughly a student moving from the middle of the class to the top ; , to the top .
  • Guardrailed tutor. An AI set up to teach, not to answer: it gives hints one step at a time and never hands over the full solution.

Same model, opposite outcome

The cleanest test is a trial in Turkey with nearly high school maths students.9 Three groups: notes only, plain GPT-4 in a chat window, and the same GPT-4 set up by teachers to give hints, not answers.

hover or tap a row
Plain GPT-4Guardrailed tutor, same model
Practice, AI allowed: plain GPT-4
+48%
Practice, AI allowed: guardrailed tutor
+127%
Exam, no AI: plain GPT-4
minus 17%
Exam, no AI: guardrailed tutor
no loss
Figure 2. Same model, opposite outcome. Nearly 1,000 high school maths students in Turkey, four sessions, change against a notes only group. Source: Bastani et al., PNAS, 2025.9
So what? The model was never the variable. The design was. Procurement should buy the tutor, not the chatbot.

A trial by trial view

hover or tap a row
AI aloneAI with a teacher or tutor design in the loopAI tutor, low useHuman tutoring benchmarks: , 0.21,
Khanmigo, Tennessee, as assigned29
0.06 to 0.08 SD
Khanmigo, full year of active use29
0.14 SD
Nigeria, English (teacher guided)26
0.23 SD
Undergraduates, lab experiment30
0.27 SD
Nigeria, overall26
0.31 SD
Ghana, WhatsApp maths tutor28
0.37 SD
Harvard physics, guardrailed tutor25
0.63 SD
00.350.7 SD
Figure 3. Learning gains from AI tutoring trials, in standard deviations, against human tutoring benchmarks (dashed lines: 0.16 and for tutoring at scale, 0.37 SD across tutoring RCTs).33,34 Studies differ in age, subject, length and test, so read this as indicative.
So what? Well designed AI tutoring already matches or beats human tutoring at scale. Badly used, the same tutor barely moves the needle. The difference is how it is used.
Table 1 · The trials behind the argument
StudySettingWhat happenedLesson
Stockholm Univ. and HKU, 2026726,811 Chinese students, grades 7 to 12, 30 months (not an RCT)Homework +18%, time minus 30%, monthly exams minus 20%, entrance exams minus 18% and minus 24%Unstructured use outsources the work
Bastani et al., PNAS 20259About 1,000 high school maths students, Turkey, RCTPlain GPT-4: practice +48%, exam minus 17%. Guardrailed tutor: practice +127%, no exam lossSame model, different design, opposite outcome
Kestin et al., Scientific Reports 202525194 Harvard physics students, crossover RCT0.63 SD; more than double the gain of active learning, median 49 minutes vs about 60Tutor revealed one step at a time
World Bank, Edo State, Nigeria 202526Secondary students, six week after school RCT0.31 SD overall, 0.23 SD in English: about 1.5 to 2 years of typical schoolingTeachers guided every session
Wang et al., Stanford Tutor CoPilot 202427900 tutors, 1,800 K to 12 students, US, RCT+4 points in topic mastery; +9 points for students of weaker tutors; $20 per tutor per yearAI coaches the human, not the child
Henkel et al., Rori, Ghana 202428About 1,000 students, grades 3 to 9, 8 months, RCT0.37 SD on maths growthScheduled sessions on a basic phone
Oreopoulos and Low, Khanmigo 20262918 Tennessee middle schools, two year cluster RCT0.06 to 0.08 SD per year as assigned; 0.14 SD implied for full useAccess is not the intervention
Google LearnLM and Eedi, UK 202531165 UK secondary students, exploratory RCTTutors approved 76% of AI drafted messages as is; novel problems solved 66% vs 61% with humans aloneExpert tutor supervised each message. Vendor preprint
Contractor and Reyes 202630Undergraduates, proctored lab RCT+0.27 SD, still there one week laterExplain beats generate
Kosmyna et al., MIT Media Lab 20253254 students writing essays, EEG, four monthsLLM users showed the weakest brain connectivity and struggled to quote their own essaysThink first, then AI. Small preprint

Read the big meta analyses with care

A meta analysis pools many studies into one number. The pooled numbers for generative AI look spectacular, and that is the warning sign.

Table 2 · Pooled estimates vs field trials, effect sizes in SD
SourceScopePooled effectRead it as
Wang and Fan, 20253751 studies0.87 on learning performanceRetracted in April 2026, after 270 citations
Zhao et al., 20253529 studies, 59 effects0.61 on higher order thinking; 0.86 for self regulated learners vs 0.28 for othersStructure triples the gain
Frontiers in Psychology, 20263633 studies, 3,394 students1.10, with a 95% range from 0.09 to 2.10Strong publication bias
Field RCTs above10 studies0.06 to 0.63The honest range

The most cited 'ChatGPT boosts learning' number no longer exists. Field trials that measure learning without the tool report far smaller, and far more useful, numbers.

The OECD's 2026 Digital Education Outlook names the problem directly: meta analyses claiming ChatGPT boosts "academic performance" often measure immediate task achievement, "not durable learning, and sometimes not even learning".10

Three conclusions I draw

  • The helicopter without a pilot licence is real. When children use a general chatbot to produce answers, measured learning drops. Duminil-Copin is right about that.
  • The tool is not the variable. The pedagogy is. Guardrailed tutors, sequencing (think first, then AI) and teacher framing reverse the effect. Huang's "it doesn't matter" ignores this. So does the mathematician's "don't use it".
  • The biggest gains came with an adult in the loop. Nigeria, Harvard, Stanford and the Google and Eedi trial all had educators designing or supervising the experience. That is the thread I pull on below.
So what? Banning AI and handing it out unstructured are the two worst options on the table. The winning option costs the most thought: a tool built to teach, used in an order a teacher designed. And that only protects the floor. Section 8 is about the ceiling.

5We have seen this film before

Each time a tool made the old exercise trivial, schools first resisted, then slowly raised the bar. The lag is the damage.

Calculators: endorsed in 1980, tested in 1994

  • Ownership came first. By 1975, a Science News estimate put one calculator in circulation for every nine Americans.11 By 1980, of US 9 year olds and of 17 year olds owned or had access to one.12
  • The profession said yes early. In 1980, the NCTM's Agenda for Action recommended calculators at all grade levels.11 Nearly studies had found no measurable harm.13
  • Classrooms did not follow. In 1986, some teachers picketed the NCTM meeting in Washington against its pro calculator position.14 The famous photo overstates it: about of attendees took part.15 The real resistance was quieter, and it lived in daily practice.
  • Ten years later, it had still not landed. The 1990 NAEP found of 4th graders and of 8th graders were never asked to use a calculator in maths class. Only of 4th graders could use one on a test. The US statistics agency's own verdict: "NCTM's recommendations have not been implemented."16
  • The exam moved last. The SAT allowed calculators from March 1994, fourteen years after the endorsement. of test takers brought one that year.11
hover or tap a year
1975One calculator for every nine Americans11
1980NCTM recommends calculators at all grade levels13
1983AP Calculus allows calculators, then reverses the next year11
1986Teachers picket the NCTM meeting15
199047% of 4th graders never asked to use one in class16
1994The SAT allows calculators; 87% bring one11
Figure 4. Calculators: from mass ownership to the flagship exam took about .
So what? A professional body saying yes does not change a classroom. The test changes the classroom. With AI, redesigning assessment is the first move, not the last.

The research explains why the lag matters. A 2003 meta analysis of studies found calculators improved operational and problem solving skills when they were "an integral part of testing and instruction", and did not hinder basic skills.17 The gain arrived only once the assessment changed too.

The internet: wired rooms, unready teachers

  • The wiring was fast. US public school classrooms with internet access went from in 1994 to in 2003.18
  • The teaching was not. In 1999, when of classrooms were online, only about one teacher in three felt well prepared to use computers and the internet for instruction.19
hover or tap a year
1999: 64% online, 1 teacher in 3 felt prepared
199495969798990001022003
Figure 5. Share of US public school classrooms with internet access, 1994 to 2003. Source: NCES 2005-015; teacher readiness from NCES 2000-102.18,19
So what? Wiring a school takes a few years. Preparing its teachers takes longer. Handing out AI licences is the wiring; the teaching is the hard part.

Wikipedia: the ban reflex

When I was 15, dissertations still asked us to compile facts. Then everything became findable. For a while the bar stayed where it was, which meant a copy paste from Wikipedia could pass.

  • The institutional reflex was to ban. In January 2007, six years after Wikipedia launched, Middlebury College's history department barred students from citing it, after several students repeated the same wrong fact from it on an exam.20
  • Even the chair doubted it. The department chair said a full ban would be impractical.
  • Good teachers moved the goal instead. The value was no longer finding information. It was combining sources, judging reliability, and forming and defending an opinion.

AI: the fastest step change yet

The lag is about to get more expensive, because the step is arriving faster than any before it.

hover or tap a row
Personal computer, 1984
19.7%
Internet, 1998
30.1%
Generative AI, August 2025
54.6%
2 monthsChatGPT to 100 million monthly users
9 monthsTikTok to the same mark
30 monthsInstagram to the same mark
Figure 6. US adoption three years after launch. Sources: St. Louis Fed (2025); UBS and Sensor Tower via Reuters (2023).43,44
So what? The calculator gave schools two decades to adjust. AI is giving them a few school years.
Table 3 · Three step changes, one pattern
Step changeFirst reactionThe lag, in numbersWhere the bar moved
Calculator, 1970s to 1990sResistance, fear of dependency1980 endorsement; 1990: 47% of 4th graders never used one in class; SAT allowed 1994From computation to problem solving and modelling
Internet and Wikipedia, 1994 to 2007Citation bans, plagiarism panicClassrooms online: 3% (1994) to 93% (2003); 1 teacher in 3 felt ready in 1999From finding facts to synthesis, source criticism, argument
Generative AI, 2023 onwardsBans, detectors, "don't use it"55% of US adults after 3 years; 86% of 15 year olds in the OECD use chatbots for schoolworkStill undecided. My bet: from producing answers to framing problems, directing tools and judging output

The pattern

Children adopt first. Teachers adjust last. In between, the bar sits embarrassingly low relative to the tools available.

  • With AI, that gap is wider than ever, because the tool does not just compute or retrieve. It writes, reasons and explains.
  • Keeping yesterday's exercises and banning the tool does not preserve rigour. It guarantees that homework measures nothing, as the Chinese data already shows: homework up , exams down .

The context: results are already sliding

PISA tests 15 year olds in maths every few years.

  • 2018 to 2022: the largest drop in its history. across the OECD, in the round hit by COVID.21
  • 2022 to 2025: down again. across comparable OECD countries. France fell , to . Apart from Türkiye, no OECD country improved.21
  • Over ten years: maths scores fell since 2015, which the OECD equates to just over a year of learning.21
Table 4 · PISA maths, mean score
2012201820222025
OECD average494487472463
Belgium515508480
France495495474458

2018 values derived as the 2022 score minus the OECD reported change. The OECD average covers a different set of countries in each round; the 2022 to 2025 change of minus 9 is measured on 35 comparable countries. Belgium 2025 read from a table built on OECD data (secondary). Flanders scored 489 in 2025; the Wallonia Brussels Federation (secondary).

This is context, not proof. The 2022 drop predates mass AI use, and COVID explains part of it. The 2025 test was taken when most 15 year olds already used chatbots for schoolwork, but PISA cannot say whether AI helped or hurt. What it does show: the system entering this step change is already losing ground, which leaves no room for another decade of lag.

6The real bottleneck: the adult in the cockpit

Children will use AI whether we allow it or not. The only variable we control is whether their teachers can fly better than they can.

My experience

I have spent time with teachers and school directors explaining AI. Many are deeply sceptical of the technology, highly risk averse, and in some cases actively blocking change.

I understand why. They are overloaded, rarely trained, and have watched many edtech promises fail. But we cannot afford a repeat of the calculator decade.

Students moved first

When ChatGPT arrived, schools had no rulebook. In May 2023, fewer than of about schools and universities UNESCO surveyed had formal guidance on generative AI.56 Students did not wait for one.

hover or tap a row
Students
UK undergraduates using any AI39
2024 66%
2025 92%
2026
US teens using ChatGPT or chatbots for schoolwork38
2023 13%
2024 26%
2025 54%
US students 12+ using AI for homework40
May 25 48%
Dec 25 62%
Teachers
US teachers with at least one AI training session41
2023 13%
2024 42%
2025 50%
US teachers with no school AI training, 2024 to 2542
Figure 7. Students adopted AI in two to three years. Teacher training moved slower, and mostly as single sessions.
So what? The students are already in the helicopter. The instructors are still reading the manual.

Teachers are catching up unevenly

The OECD's TALIS 2024 survey asked about teachers and school leaders in systems whether they used AI in their work and whether they were trained on it in the past year.22

Table 5 · What 280,000 teachers and school leaders told the OECD (TALIS 2024)
IndicatorOECD averageLeaderLaggard
Teachers using AI in their work36%Singapore, UAE %France , Japan 17%
Teachers trained on AI in the past year38%Singapore France
AI named as a high training need, first of all topicsNorway 44%Flanders 14%
Non users lacking the knowledge and skills75%Japan 88%, France 79%
Teachers worried AI enables cheatingAbout 70%
Teachers whose school does not allow AIAbout 10%

Lower secondary teachers. Belgium: French Community use, trained; Flemish Community use, trained. Source: OECD TALIS 2024 report, tables 1.59, 4.22 and 4.27, and country notes.22

hover or tap a row
Students using AI for schoolworkTeachers using AITeachers trained on AI
France
gap 76 pts
Italy
gap 65 pts
Spain
gap 66 pts
Belgium
gap 62 pts
Denmark
gap 63 pts
Netherlands
gap 54 pts
Sweden
gap 53 pts
OECD average
gap 49 pts
Finland
gap 36 pts
Norway
gap 42 pts
Japan
gap 37 pts
Korea
gap 26 pts
Australia
gap 31 pts
United Arab Emirates
gap 22 pts
Singapore
gap 20 pts
0%50%100%
Figure 8. Same system, three speeds. Students: 15 year olds in PISA 2025.45 Teachers: lower secondary teachers in TALIS 2024.22 Different surveys and years: read as orders of magnitude, not exact ratios.
So what? Students sit at 75 to 95% almost everywhere. Teachers spread from 9% to 76%, and their use tracks their training: across 55 systems the two correlate strongly (our analysis of OECD data, ). Training is the lever a ministry actually controls.

What stands out

  • AI is the most requested training topic. 29% of teachers say they need more of it, ahead of every other subject surveyed.22 Resistance is partly a skills gap wearing the costume of a principle.
  • The barrier is skill, not rules. Three non users in four say they lack the knowledge or skills to teach with AI. Only about one teacher in ten says their school does not allow it.22
  • The French speaking world sits at the bottom. France trained 9% of its teachers on AI, the lowest of all 55 systems. Singapore trained 76%. The French Community of Belgium trained , against in Flanders.22 That is the context in which a Fields medallist's "I don't use it" lands as a norm rather than a personal choice.
  • Same country, three speeds. In France, of 15 year olds use AI chatbots for schoolwork, 14% of teachers use AI, and 9% were trained on it.22,45
  • "Trained" usually means one session. Half of US teachers had at least one AI session by fall 2025, but only report ongoing training.41 68% had no school or district training at all in 2024 to 25, and taught themselves.42
  • Nobody teaches students how. In the US, over of students say their teachers never explicitly taught them how to use AI for schoolwork.23
  • The positive evidence always had a teacher in the loop. Edo State, Harvard and Stanford worked because educators designed the scaffolding. Remove the pilot and you get the Chinese homework data.
So what? The first people to train are not the children. They are the teachers. Not a one hour awareness session: enough depth that they use these systems better than their students, redesign assignments around them, and climb higher with the kids instead of policing them from base camp.

7My take: teach them to fly, and move the summit

A caveat first. I have spent years reading on education and worked on school improvement projects during my time at McKinsey. What follows is my personal view, not a conclusion of that work.

I would take both Duminil-Copin and Huang with a grain of salt. One is a researcher at the absolute frontier of his field, with a way of working that suits him and very few others. The other sells the shovels of this gold rush.

The metaphor argues against its author

  • Flying a helicopter is harder than walking. Ask someone who has never flown to land on Everest: thin air, unpredictable winds, a landing zone the size of a table. It is one of the hardest things a pilot can do. Getting into the helicopter is not the skill. Flying it is.
  • The child in his story is a passenger, not a pilot. That is the real failure. Not that a helicopter exists, but that we let children ride in it without teaching them to fly, navigate, read the weather or know when to land.
  • If the climb is now easy, the mountain is too small. The right response to a helicopter is not to ban it. It is to pick a higher mountain, or a range nobody has mapped.

Amaury Hayat's exoskeleton makes the same point from inside the profession: an assisted ascent still teaches you the route, if you are paying attention.

Where I agree with Huang, and where I go further

Huang is right on the direction. Some skills stop mattering, and new ones take their place. The most important new skill already has a name: judgment.

  • Execution is getting cheap. Computing, retrieving, drafting and formatting are what AI does well. They used to fill most of a school day.
  • Judgment is getting valuable. Framing the problem, choosing the method, checking the answer, deciding what good looks like: that is what is left for people.
  • School still trains execution. Too much time goes to learning by heart and executing procedures mindlessly. That was never the point of education, and now a machine does it in seconds.
  • Some execution stays. You cannot judge whether an AI's answer is plausible without number sense, or direct it to write a strong argument if you have never built one. But a skill that used to be manual does not have to stay manual.

Keep the execution that judgment rests on, and hand the rest to the tool. What changes is how much time we spend on execution versus judgment, and how high we set the bar once the tool is in hand. Train teachers and students in judgment, not in mindless execution.

The skills the job market already names

Employers are not waiting. In the World Economic Forum's 2025 survey, employers expect of workers' core skills to change by 2030, and seven in ten companies list analytical thinking as essential.24 Those are pilot skills, not passenger skills.

8Hints are the floor. The summit is the point.

Read section 4 quickly and you could draw the wrong lesson: lock the model down so it only gives hints. That protects learning. It does not raise it.

What hints do, and what they do not

  • They stop the loss. In the Turkey trial, the hint only tutor left exam scores where they were without AI.9 No loss. Also no gain.
  • They free time. At Harvard, students learned more with the tutor in a median of , against about in class.25
  • The authors say what the time is for: "advanced problem solving, project based learning, and group work".25 That is a proposal, not something the trial measured.

Hints are necessary for practice. They are not the strategy. The strategy is what students do with the time and the power the tool gives them.

What happens when people use AI to climb

Outside school, controlled trials show the same pattern again and again: with AI, people reach work above their level.

hover or tap a row
Beginners and learnersEveryone or more experienced
Consultants, BCG57
Below average +
Above average +
Customer support agents58
Less skilled +30%
Everyone +15%
Software developers61
Everyone +26%
Writing professionals59
Quality +18%
Novice coders aged 60
Scores +80%
Figure 9. With AI, the least experienced gain the most. Gains measured in controlled trials, each against people doing the same task without AI.
So what? AI lifts people to work above their level. School should use that lift on purpose, and teach the judgment that says when the tool is wrong.
  • Beginners jump levels. At BCG, below average consultants gained 43% with AI, above average ones . Support agents with two months of experience performed like colleagues with six months.57,58
  • Children too. Novices aged 10 to 17 learning Python with an AI code tool scored higher, with no loss on tasks done by hand afterwards.60
  • The work moves up. In a writing trial, AI shifted effort away from rough drafting and toward idea generation and editing.59
  • Judgment is the limit. On a task outside what AI does well, consultants using it were less likely to get the right answer.57 The tool raises the ceiling only for people who can tell when it is wrong.

No study yet measures students taking on harder projects because of AI. The argument rests on these trials, not on a school result. It is a design choice, and teachers have to make it.

Climb or coast: five ways to use the same tool

Table 6 · Same tool, five uses
ModeThe studentThe AIEffect
TutorAttempts, gets stuck, asksGives the next hint, never the answerProtects the floor
Sparring partnerTakes a position and defends itAttacks the argument, finds the weak pointTrains judgment
Critic and checkerAudits AI output, finds the errorsProduces a first draft to be judgedTrains judgment
Power toolFrames a bigger project, makes the callsExecutes: code, data, drafts, simulationsRaises the ceiling
Answer machineCopies the resultDoes the thinkingCoasting: the Chinese homework data

About six in ten 15 year olds in PISA 2025 say a lesson already asked them to assess the quality of AI generated information.45

Where the school day goes

School spends most of its time on execution. Four sources, measured differently, point the same way.

  • Most lessons ask little. In five US school systems, only of about lessons observed focused on understanding and asked students to do the thinking. Students met the demands of their assignments of the time, but showed grade level mastery only 17% of the time.62
  • Memorising does not reach the top. In PISA 2012, the students who relied most on memorisation were four times less likely to solve the hardest maths problem than those who relied on it least.63
  • Tests reward recall. In exam and quiz items from university biology teachers, tested knowledge and comprehension, the two lowest levels of Bloom's scale.64
  • Teachers report the same balance.
hover or tap a row
OECD averageFranceFrench Community of Belgium
Execution
Summarise recently learned content
OECD 80%
France 86%
FWB 86%
Tell students to listen to what I say
OECD 77%
France 81%
FWB 92%
Judgment
Give tasks that require critical thinking
OECD 61%
France 50%
FWB 47%
Let students choose their own method on complex tasks
OECD 46%
France 36%
FWB 26%
Ask students to critique each other's arguments
OECD 44%
France 48%
FWB 40%
Set tasks with no obvious solution
OECD 37%
France 38%
FWB 34%
Set projects of a week or more
OECD 28%
France 25%
FWB 30%
Figure 10. What teachers say they do often or always, lower secondary, TALIS 2024.22 Self reported, so real practice is likely lower on the judgment side.
So what? Summarising and listening are the daily routine. Open problems and long projects are the exception. AI can take over much of the first list; the second list is what school should be for.

The OECD's 2026 outlook draws the conclusion for the AI era: because AI output needs human scrutiny, critical thinking and higher order skills become "even more important than before", and judgment sits on its list of crucial skills.10 Employers agree: seven in ten rank analytical thinking as essential.24

The one test

Ask one question after any use of AI in class: did the student end up doing harder thinking than they could have done alone? If yes, they are climbing. If the AI did the thinking, they are coasting, however good the result looks.

So what? Restraint is the floor, judgment is the skill, and the summit is the point. A 15 year old with AI should frame, direct, check and defend work that a 15 year old without it could not produce.

9What should change: five moves for schools and ministries

The five moves

  1. Train teachers first, and deeply. Fund real AI professional development before rolling tools out to students. Singapore's training rate against France's is a policy choice, not destiny.
  2. Move assessment to where AI cannot fake it. In class reasoning, oral defence, live problem solving and process portfolios. The Chinese study shows take home homework is now a weak signal. Stop grading it as if it were a strong one.
  3. Protect the floor with tutors, then aim above it. For practice, buy AI that gives hints one step at a time, as in the Turkey and Harvard trials, not a generic chatbot. For projects, give students AI as a sparring partner, a critic and a power tool. Hints stop the loss; the other modes create the gain.
  4. Teach "think first, then AI". Sequence tasks so students attempt first, then use AI to challenge, extend and check. The MIT essay study and a 2026 randomised lab experiment both point the same way: using AI to explain beats using it to produce.
  5. Raise the summit. Keep the foundations that enable judgment (number sense, argument structure, source criticism). Then spend the freed time on harder, messier problems than we used to dare assign. A 15 year old with AI should produce work that a 15 year old without it could not.

Who is already moving

Table 7 · Who is already moving
WhereMoveScaleWhich of the five moves
Estonia48AI Leap: teachers onboarded in August 2025, students only from January 2026About 20,000 students, about 4,900 teachers, 154 schools; over 60% of teachers now use AI weekly1 · Train teachers first
Singapore22Sustained teacher professional learning on AI76% of teachers trained last year, the highest in TALIS1 · Train teachers first
United States55National Academy for AI Instruction (AFT with Microsoft, OpenAI, Anthropic)$23 million, 400,000 educators over five years1 · Train teachers first
University of Sydney54Two lane assessment: secure in person tasks, plus open tasks where AI is allowedWhole university, from 20252 · Move assessment
France50No direct student use of generative AI before the 4e; homework and assessment to put reasoning firstNational framework, June 20252 and 4 · Assessment, think first
Nigeria, Edo State26GPT-4 tutoring in pairs, prompts designed by teachers to promote reasoningPilot, about 800 students; 0.31 SD in six weeks3 · Tutors, not answer machines
UAE49AI as an official subject from kindergarten to grade 12, taught by designated teachersAll public schools, from 2025 to 265 · Raise the summit
Beijing46Compulsory AI education in primary and secondary schoolsOver 1,400 schools, at least 8 class hours a year5 · Raise the summit
South Korea47AI digital textbooks rolled out in March 2025, stripped of textbook status in AugustAbout of schools adopted; at least allocatedWarning: tools before teachers
New York City51Banned ChatGPT in January 2023, reversed in May 2023, new moratorium for grades 2K to 8 in September 2026Nearly studentsWarning: the ban pendulum

Scale figures are as reported by each government or institution. Korea and New York are listed as warnings, not models.

Two warnings

  • Tools before teachers fails. South Korea spent at least 533 billion won on AI textbooks, reached about 30% of schools, and lost the legal status of the textbooks within five months.47
  • The ban pendulum wastes years. New York City banned ChatGPT in January 2023 and reversed the ban four months later; its chancellor called the first reaction "knee jerk fear".51 In September 2026, the city imposed a new one year moratorium on student facing generative AI for nearly 600,000 children up to grade 8. A pause can be a legitimate choice for young children. Oscillating without a teacher plan is not.

Why policing does not work

  • Detectors misfire. Seven AI detectors flagged of essays by non native English writers as AI written, on average.52
  • The vendor gave up. OpenAI withdrew its own detector in 2023: it caught of AI text and wrongly flagged of human text.52
  • Almost nobody is caught. of UK undergraduates used AI for assessed work in 2025.39 Proven AI cheating cases ran at students in 2023 to 24.53

Detection is not a policy. Redesigned assessment is.

For the mathematicians

None of this contradicts Duminil-Copin's deepest point. Building concepts yourself, the moment of "eurêka", is irreplaceable. The question is whether we protect it by banning the helicopter, or by teaching children to fly to places where there is still something left to discover.

10Conclusion

The mathematician fears children will become passengers. The CEO shrugs that passengers still arrive. Both accept the same frame: a fixed mountain, and a choice between walking and flying.

I reject the frame.

  • AI is one of the largest step changes in human history. Adoption three years in is already higher than the PC or the internet at the same age.
  • Education will lag it, as it lagged the calculator and the internet.
  • That lag will show up as falling performance, because the bar will sit absurdly low relative to the tools in every pocket.

The fix is not to ground the helicopter. It is to train the pilots, starting with the teachers, and then to point everyone at a much higher summit.

11The fine print

  • Studies are not directly comparable. Trials differ in age, subject, duration and test. The effect size chart is indicative, not a league table.
  • The Chinese study is not a randomised trial. It compares students who adopted AI at different times (a difference in differences design). It is strong evidence of a pattern, not proof of a cause in every classroom.
  • Some trials are preprints, not yet peer reviewed: the MIT essay study, the 2026 lab experiment, and the Google and Eedi trial, which was run by the vendor's own team.
  • PISA trends are context, not causation. The 2018 to 2022 drop predates mass AI use, and COVID explains part of it.
  • Survey questions changed. Pew asked about ChatGPT in 2023 and 2024, and about any AI chatbot in 2025. The jump from partly reflects the wider question.
  • TALIS figures are for lower secondary teachers (students aged about ) and exclude England and the UK in the 2024 tables.
  • The retracted meta analysis (Wang and Fan, 2025) is cited only as a warning. Its numbers are not used as evidence.
  • The interviews with Duminil-Copin and Huang are summarised from the France Inter audio and the New York Times episode and its coverage, not quoted word for word.

12Glossary

Cognitive offloading
Handing a mental task to a tool, such as a calculator or a chatbot, so the brain does less of it.
Difference in differences
A method that compares how two groups changed over the same period, to isolate the effect of something only one group started doing.
Effect size, standard deviation (SD)
A common ruler for learning gains. moves a middle student to about the top of the class; to about the top .
Guardrailed tutor
An AI set up to teach: it gives hints one step at a time and does not hand over full answers.
Meta analysis
A study that pools the results of many studies into one estimate.
NAEP
The National Assessment of Educational Progress, the main US national test of what students know.
PISA
The OECD's Programme for International Student Assessment, which tests 15 year olds in maths, reading and science.
Preprint
A research paper shared publicly before peer review.
Publication bias
The tendency for positive results to get published more than null ones, which inflates pooled estimates.
Randomised controlled trial (RCT)
An experiment where participants are assigned by lottery, so differences in outcome can be credited to the intervention.
TALIS
The OECD's Teaching and Learning International Survey of teachers and school leaders.
Notes and sources
  1. La Libre, L'IA va-t-elle éradiquer les mathématiciens ?, 18 September 2026. France Inter interview with Hugo Duminil-Copin and Emmanuel Sander, September 2026 (audio).
  2. Hugo Duminil-Copin, Wikipedia.
  3. Hairer, The work of Hugo Duminil-Copin, ICM 2022.
  4. Seuil, De l'autre côté du tableau noir, 2026.
  5. The Leiden Declaration.
  6. The Ezra Klein Show with Jensen Huang, New York Times, 23 September 2026.
  7. Stromberg, Lei and Wu, The Generative AI Learning Penalty, CEPR DP21577, June 2026 (SSRN); World Bank blog, 18 June 2026; Education Next; The Economist, 18 August 2026.
  8. Futurism and Kotaku coverage of the Huang interview, September 2026.
  9. Bastani et al., Generative AI without guardrails can harm learning, PNAS 122(26), 2025, full text. A correction was published in August 2025.
  10. OECD Digital Education Outlook 2026, January 2026, executive summary.
  11. Audrey Watters, A brief history of calculators in the classroom, 2015, citing Science News (1975), the NCTM Agenda for Action (1980) and College Board research. Secondary source.
  12. Suydam, Using Calculators in Pre College Education, 1981.
  13. SMTS position paper on calculators, 1980.
  14. Christian Science Monitor, The great calculator debate, 1986.
  15. Transum, the 1986 calculator protest.
  16. NCES 92-060, Calculators and Computers, 1992 (NAEP 1990).
  17. Ellington, A meta analysis of the effects of calculators, Journal for Research in Mathematics Education 34(5), 2003. Abstract read via search index.
  18. NCES 2005-015, Internet Access in U.S. Public Schools and Classrooms: 1994 to 2003.
  19. NCES 2000-102, Teachers' Tools for the 21st Century, 2000.
  20. Inside Higher Ed, A stand against Wikipedia, January 2007; AHA Perspectives.
  21. OECD, PISA 2012 Results in Focus; OECD, PISA 2022 Insights and Interpretations, maths table (copy); DEPP Note d'information 2026-40, PISA 2025; OECD press release, 9 September 2026, republished copy; EduScores PISA 2025 table (secondary).
  22. OECD, Results from TALIS 2024: chapter 1, chapter 4, tables 1.59, 4.22 and 4.27 (data, data), and country notes, October 2025.
  23. RAND, RRA4180-1, September 2025.
  24. World Economic Forum, Future of Jobs Report 2025, January 2025.
  25. Kestin, Miller et al., AI tutoring outperforms in class active learning, Scientific Reports, 2025, full text.
  26. De Simone et al., World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 11125, May 2025; World Bank blog, January 2025.
  27. Wang, Ribeiro, Robinson, Loeb and Demszky, Tutor CoPilot, 2024.
  28. Henkel et al., Rori, an AI maths tutor in Ghana, 2024. An earlier version reports about 500 students and 0.36 SD.
  29. Oreopoulos and Low, EdWorkingPaper 26-1551, 2026; Chalkbeat, 25 August 2026.
  30. Contractor and Reyes, arXiv 2607.08849, July 2026. Preprint.
  31. Google LearnLM and Eedi, arXiv 2512.23633, December 2025. Vendor preprint.
  32. Kosmyna et al., Your Brain on ChatGPT, MIT Media Lab, 2025. Preprint.
  33. Kraft, Schueler and Falken, What impacts should we expect from tutoring at scale?, EdWorkingPaper 24-1031, 2024 (265 RCTs).
  34. Nickow, Oreopoulos and Quan, NBER w27476, 2020, published in AERJ 2024.
  35. Zhao et al., Journal of Intelligence, December 2025.
  36. Frontiers in Psychology, June 2026.
  37. GovTech, Nature retracts oft cited paper on positive impact of ChatGPT, 2026; Wang and Fan, Humanities and Social Sciences Communications 12:621, 2025, retracted 22 April 2026.
  38. Pew Research Center, January 2025 and February 2026.
  39. HEPI and Kortext, Student Generative AI Survey 2025 and 2026.
  40. RAND, RRA4742-1, American Youth Panel, March 2026.
  41. EdWeek Research Center, November 2025 and May 2026.
  42. Gallup and Walton Family Foundation, Teaching for Tomorrow, June 2025; Gallup, May 2026.
  43. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, The state of generative AI adoption in 2025; Bick, Blandin and Deming, NBER w32966.
  44. Reuters, ChatGPT sets record for fastest growing user base, 2 February 2023, citing UBS and Sensor Tower.
  45. OECD, PISA 2025 Results, Volume I, chapter 4, Figure I.4.12 (data).
  46. China Daily, Beijing launches compulsory AI education, October 2025.
  47. Korea Herald, AI textbooks lose textbook status, 4 August 2025.
  48. Estonian Ministry of Education and Research, AI Leap, February 2025; AI Leap Foundation, 2026.
  49. UAE Ministry of Education via UAE BARQ, 4 May 2025.
  50. French Ministry of Education, L'IA en éducation, cadre d'usage, June 2025.
  51. NYC Mayor's Office, press release, 2 September 2026; David Banks in Chalkbeat, 18 May 2023.
  52. Liang et al., GPT detectors are biased against non native English writers, Patterns, 2023; OpenAI AI Text Classifier figures via Inquirer Technology, July 2023.
  53. The Register, UK university AI cheating cases, 16 June 2025, reporting a Guardian freedom of information request.
  54. University of Sydney, two lane assessment, November 2024; Russell Group principles, July 2023.
  55. AFT, National Academy for AI Instruction, 8 July 2025.
  56. UNESCO survey on generative AI guidance, June 2023.
  57. Dell'Acqua et al., Navigating the Jagged Technological Frontier, Harvard Business School Working Paper 24-013, 2023.
  58. Brynjolfsson, Li and Raymond, Generative AI at Work, Quarterly Journal of Economics 140(2), 2025.
  59. Noy and Zhang, Experimental evidence on the productivity effects of generative AI, Science 381, 2023 (working paper).
  60. Kazemitabaar et al., Studying the effect of AI code generators on supporting novice learners, CHI 2023.
  61. Cui, Demirer, Jaffe, Musolff, Peng and Salz, The effects of generative AI on high skilled work, Management Science, 2026.
  62. TNTP, The Opportunity Myth, 2018 (full report).
  63. OECD, PISA in Focus 61: Is memorisation a good strategy for learning mathematics?, 2016 (PISA 2012 data).
  64. Momsen et al., Just the facts? Introductory undergraduate biology courses focus on low level cognitive skills, CBE Life Sciences Education 9(4), 2010.
Method note: every figure in this post comes from the source cited beside it, opened in September 2026. Numbers reported only by secondary outlets are labelled as such in the notes.September 2026
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Assem Chammah
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